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Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Gulf - 40% Chance of Tropical Wave to become Cyclone


"THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS MONITORING A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE AROUND HISPANIOLA FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, THIS FEATURE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO SOUTH FLORIDA FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR POSSIBLE DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS LATE THIS WEEK." 


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents

Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup


Click to unzoomReturn to Atlantic Graphical TWO

1. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE TROUGH.  DATA FROM THE NOAA G-IV JET INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH THEY COULD BECOME MARGINALLY FAVORABLE IN A DAY OR TWO.  LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL SPREAD OVER THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF CUBA AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 822 PM EDT WED JUL 21 2010  FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-221200- GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER- INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE- METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH- COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 822 PM EDT WED JUL 21 2010  ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES... ...POSSIBLE HEAVY RAIN/GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY AND INTO WEEKEND...  THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.  .DAY ONE...TONIGHT  RIP CURRENTS: A PERSISTENT EAST WIND OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. SWIMMING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.  NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY  A PERSISTENT MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY ONSHORE WIND FLOW ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE THE ELEVATED RISK OF STRONG, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 


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