2nd Solar X-Flare In A Week-Firing Directly to Earth

From Ken, Modern Survival Blog:

Exactly 6 days after the sun unleashed the strongest solar flare in years, the most powerful kind… ‘X-class’ flare, today the sun fired off an even stronger X-class flare from sunspot 1520.

There are three sunspot regions (1519, 1520, 1521) all close together which currently appear as an enormous (180,000 miles) angry flaming twisted fiery plasma as seen in the next image from SDO ‘AIA 304′.

And here’s the thing… IT’S FACING DIRECTLY AT EARTH

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Approximate Flare Start : 12-07-2012 1616 UT
Approximate Flare Maximum: 12-07-2012 1653 UT at Flux X 1.4
Approximate Flare End : 12-07-2012 2027 UT
LOCATION OF HF FADEOUT: South America/Central America/USA/Canada/North Atlantic/
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Australian Space Forecast Centre
IPS Radio and Space Services

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Image of the flare as it occurred:

Any associated CME (coronal mass ejection) with this flare will take a day or two to reach earth. Since the flare was directly facing earth, it WILL BE a geomagnetic event, and may cause problems.

I feel compelled to post when this happens, as a reminder that our sun is quite capable of ending our easy way of life. A powerful enough X-class flare WOULD END IT. Any X-class flare, even on the lower side of the X-scale, makes me cringe. Most people have no clue what this ball of fire in the sky is capable of… and because their lives have not been disrupted by it in the past, they don’t give it a thought. It was ‘only’ 153 years ago when a monster X-class flare blasted the earth… an event if had it happened today would have put down most of the entire power grid – for a very long time… long enough for tens or hundreds of millions to die.

We are in an active period of time with the sun as we peak solar cycle 24 through this year and into next. Stay tuned. If the lights go out… maybe you’ll know why.

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7 Dangerous Sunspots Earth Directed

also Aircraft Now Banned from Canary Island

by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Seven (7) active sunspot regions are presently Earth directed as they rotate around the Sun's east-to-west corona. The most severe solar activity flare comes from sunspot regions 1338 and 1339. These sunspot groups maintain magnetic configuration to produce M-class flare and possible lower level X-class flares.   Due to the position of region 1339, currently located on the Sun's central meridian, all solar flare and CME (coronal mass ejection) activity could produce dangerous consequences to Earth from both a geomagnetic storm, and from high-speed solar winds. Equation: Sunspots => Solar Flares (charged particles) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros 1998).   Watch for continued escalation with earthquake and volcanic activity. This could also produce extreme weather patterns such as sudden temperature fluctuations. Your local TV weather forecaster is currently in training with NASA and NOAA to learn how to read solar forecasts. Stay tuned to ECM for further announcements. FULL ARTICLE - http://bit.ly/sxfXbF _____________________ Renewed Volcanic Activity at Canary Islands Forces Spain to Close Ports Ships and aircraft have been ordered to stay away from the bubbling waters around La Restinga, and the Port's 600 residents have been evacuated.

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Sunspot Activity Curiously Calm,

"This is highly unusual and unexpected,"

Scientists predict rare 'hibernation' of sunspots

"Experts are now probing whether this period of inactivity could be a second Maunder Minimum, which was a 70-year period when hardly any sunspots were observed between 1645-1715, a period known as the "Little Ice Age."

by Kerry Sheridan – Tue Jun 14, 5:38 pm ET

WASHINGTON (AFP) – For years, scientists have been predicting the Sun would by around 2012 move into solar maximum, a period of intense flares and sunspot activity, but lately a curious calm has suggested quite the opposite.

According to three studies released in the United States on Tuesday, experts believe the familiar sunspot cycle may be shutting down and heading toward a pattern of inactivity unseen since the 17th century.

The signs include a missing jet stream, fading spots, and slower activity near the poles, said experts from the National Solar Observatory and Air Force Research Laboratory.

"This is highly unusual and unexpected," said Frank Hill, associate director of the NSO's Solar Synoptic Network, as the findings of the three studies were presented at the annual meeting of the American Astronomical Society's Solar Physics Division in Las Cruces, New Mexico.

"But the fact that three completely different views of the Sun point in the same direction is a powerful indicator that the sunspot cycle may be going into hibernation."

Solar activity tends to rise and fall every 11 years or so. The solar maximum and solar minimum each mark about half the interval of the magnetic pole reversal on the Sun, which happens every 22 years.

Hill said the current cycle, number 24, "may be the last normal one for some time and the next one, cycle 25, may not happen for some time.

"This is important because the solar cycle causes space weather which affects modern technology and may contribute to climate change," he told reporters.

Experts are now probing whether this period of inactivity could be a second Maunder Minimum, which was a 70-year period when hardly any sunspots were observed between 1645-1715, a period known as the "Little Ice Age."

Peruvian Glaciers Prove Little Ice Age Was Global 

"If we are right, this could be the last solar maximum we'll see for a few decades. That would affect everything from space exploration to Earth's climate," said Hill.

Solar flares and eruptions can send highly charged particles hurtling toward Earth and interfere with satellite communications, GPS systems and even airline controls.

Geomagnetic forces have been known to occasionally garble the world's modern gadgetry, and warnings were issued as recently as last week when a moderate solar flare sent a coronal mass ejection in the Earth's direction.

The temperature change associated with any reduction in sunspot activity would likely be minimal and may not be enough to offset the impact of greenhouse gases on global warming, according to scientists who have published recent papers on the topic.

"Recent solar 11-year cycles are associated empirically with changes in global surface temperature of 0.1 Celsius," said Judith Lean, a solar physicist with the US Naval Research Laboratory.

If the cycle were to stop or slow down, the small fluctuation in temperature would do the same, eliminating the slightly cooler effect of a solar minimum compared to the warmer solar maximum. The phenomenon was witnessed during the descending phase of the last solar cycle.

This "cancelled part of the greenhouse gas warming of the period 2000-2008, causing the net global surface temperature to remain approximately flat -- and leading to the big debate of why the Earth hadn't (been) warming in the past decade," Lean, who was not involved in the three studies presented, said in an email to AFP.

A study in the March 2010 issue of Geophysical Research Letters explored what effect an extended solar minimum might have, and found no more than a 0.3 Celsius dip by 2100 compared to normal solar fluctuations.

"A new Maunder-type solar activity minimum cannot offset the global warming caused by human greenhouse gas emissions," wrote authors Georg Feulner and Stefan Rahmstorf, noting that forecasts by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have found a range of 3.7 Celsius to 4.5 Celsius rise by this century's end compared to the latter half of the 20th century.

"Moreover, any offset of global warming due to a grand minimum of solar activity would be merely a temporary effect, since the distinct solar minima during the last millennium typically lasted for only several decades or a century at most."

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20110614/ts_afp/usspacesun

http://www.dailygalaxy.com/my_weblog/2008/08/is-a-new-little.html

http://www.theresilientearth.com/?q=content/peruvian-glaciers-prove-little-ice-age-was-global

Little Ice Age - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Little Ice Age (LIA) was a period of cooling that occurred after the Medieval Warm Period. While not a true ice age, the term was introduced into ...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age


Climatic golden age: the weather was warmer than today prior to the advent of the "Little Ice Age" around 1300 A.D., and agriculture and commerce benefited.(HISTORY--PAST ... An article from: The New American  Digital media





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Mega-tons Solar Plasma Heading for Earth

April 28, 2011

Large Coronal Hole and Active Sunspot

Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media One of the largest coronal holes of Cycle 24 is spewing mega-tons of plasma (charged particles) toward Earth. This wave should hit within the next 48 hours. A coronal mass ejection (CME) warning has been put out by the NOAA Space Weather Center. 3-day Solar-Geophysical Forecast issued Apr 27 22:00 UTC Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels for the next three days (28-30 April). Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next 2 days (28-29 April). Unsettled to active levels are expected on day three (30 April) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.   In addition, sunspot region 1199 may produce M-class flares within the next 24 hours. Needless to say, this is not good news for those living along "tornado alley". My thoughts and prayers go out to the family, friends, and community for the loss of 245 lives lost to tornadoes.   Equation: Sunspots => Solar Flares (charged particles) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption ~ Mitch Battros 1998   I am thankful the American Meteorological Society now uses space weather forecast to assist in placing an Alert, Watch, and Warning for extreme weather which includes tornadoes, straight-line winds, and micro-bursts. I dedicated a full chapter in my book Solar Rain telling of the new training programs beginning in 2003 for meteorologists to better understand the Sun-Earth connection and its implications. I am confident you will see the AMS (local weatherman)continue vigilant monitoring and will be placing additional Warnings over the next 3 days. NOAA Space Weather Endorsement - http://bit.ly/kchvdI Super Duper-Doppler Weatherman - http://bit.ly/l3NzCi

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We are making the ECM news service 1 year membershipavailable at 30% off  -- Now $29.05    Why? (see below)   We are reducing our cost of the ECM one year news service due to current high-risk events. ~ Mitch Battros

Contributing sources:


http://www.earthchangesmedia.com/

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html

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Doomsday 2012 begun?New particle from Sun?

By G

Is the Sun emitting a new particle?

By Gary Vey

In previous discussions in this series, we have shown how scientists are reluctant to let go of paradigms. That's not necessarily a bad thing. It forces new thoeries to provide a better explanation of how things work and cautiously advances our knowledge and understanding of the universe.

One of the basic paradigms in modern physics has to do with atomic decay. This refers to the action whereby unstable atoms shed particles in their nucleus to make them stable. We know much about this decay and about which kinds of atoms shed which types of particles. We even know how long it takes for a certain mass of unstable atoms to shed these particles. This is known as the rate of decay and it is considered to be very stable and predictable. But we don't know precisely when this decay will happen. It's always random.

A chunk of radioactive cesium-137, for example, may decay at a steady rate overall, but individual atoms within the chunk will decay in an unpredictable, random pattern. Thus the timing of the random ticks of a Geiger counter placed near the cesium might be used to generate random numbers.

Random number generators are used all the time in scientific experiments and in computer science to make cryptograms. A typical atomic (quantum) random number generator measures the bursts of particles being thrown off by radioactive material. The detector measures the time between the bursts and uses this measure in a mathematical formula to arrive at a random number.

The rate of decay for various unstable atoms has been documented for decades and is assumed to be unchanging. But that assumption was challenged in an unexpected way by a group of researchers from Purdue University who were, at the time, more interested in random numbers than nuclear decay.

Ephraim Fischbach, a physics professor at Purdue, was looking into the rate of radioactive decay of several isotopes as a possible source of a quantum random number generator. He began his investigation by reviewing the recently published decay rates for various unstable elements and noticed something odd -- they did not agree with each other!

Reviewing the data collected at Brookhaven National Laboratory and the Federal Physical and Technical Institute in Germany, he noticed that the reported decay rate of silicon-32 and radium-226 showed a seasonal variation, being slightly faster in winter than in summer.

These findings strengthened Fischbach's suspicion that the strange swings in decay rates were caused by the Sun. The swings seemed to be in synch with the Earth's elliptical orbit, with the decay rates oscillating as the Earth came closer to the Sun and then moving away.

Was this fluctuation real, or was it merely a glitch in the equipment used to measure the decay? Could the equipment be influenced by the change of seasons, with the accompanying changes in temperature and humidity?

"Everyone thought it must be due to experimental mistakes, because we're all brought up to believe that decay rates are constant." -- Peter Sturrock, professor emeritus of applied physics

While scientists were pondering that data, another anomaly was found.

On Dec 13, 2006, a solar flare sent a stream of plasma particles and radiation toward the Earth. Purdue nuclear engineer, Jere Jenkins, was busy measuring the decay rate of manganese-54, a short-lived isotope used in medical diagnostics. He noticed that the decay rate dropped slightly about 36 hours before the flare began and returned to normal when the flare was finished.

Jenkins first thought was that this phenomenon could be useful in predicting solar flares which could help prevent damage to satellites and electric grids, as well as save the lives of astronauts in space. But the mechanism involved in this phenomenon was bizarre.

The decay rate aberrations that Jenkins noticed occurred during the middle of the night in Indiana -- meaning that if it was something produced by the sun, it would have had to travel all the way through the Earth to reach Jenkins' detectors. What kind of energy could do that?

Jenkins and his associate, Fischbach, concluded that the only particle capable of penetrating the earth and coming from the Sun was a neutrino. Neutrinos are almost weightless particles famous for flying at almost the speed of light through the physical world -- humans, rocks, oceans or planets -- with virtually no interaction with anything.

Critics didn't want to believe this phenomenon was valid. In a series of papers published in Astroparticle Physics, Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research and Space Science Reviews, Jenkins, Fischbach and their colleagues showed that the observed variations in decay rates were highly unlikely to have come from environmental influences on the detection systems. They were real.

The suspicion that these anomalies were possibly related to solar neutrinos was made stronger when Peter Sturrock (Professor Emeritus at Stanford), suggested that the Purdue scientists look for other recurring patterns in decay rates. As an expert of the inner workings of the sun, Sturrock had a hunch that solar neutrinos might held the key to this mystery. As he expected, the Purdue researchers noticed the decay rates vary repeatedly every 33 days -- a period of time that matches the rotational period of the core of the sun.

The usual changes on the surface of the Sun are in 28 day cycles. The core rotates faster than the surface. The solar core now appears to be the source of the decay anomalies and the strange neutrinos. But how? Neutrinos aren't supposed to work like that.

Here come the neutrinos! A neutrino (Italian, meaning "small neutral one") is an elementary particle, meaning that it is not made up of smaller particles, such as quarks etc. In this regard it is like an electron and photon and unlike protons and neutrons (which are composed of quarks etc.).Neutrinos have almost no mass and no electrical charge. This allows them to behave like "ghost particles" where they usually travel close to the speed of light and are able to pass through ordinary matter almost unaffected. In physics, they are denoted by the Greek letter v (nu). Neutrinos are everywhere. They evolved in huge quantities during the theoretical "Big Bang" that created the universe. Some believe that neutrinos are the "dark matter" that alludes scientists because, even though their mass in extremely small, there are so many of them that their cumulative effect could just be the force that holds everything together [3]. Right now, neutrinos are passing through your body. Although some come from cosmic space (every second, in the region of the Earth, about 65 billion solar neutrinos pass through every square centimeter perpendicular to the direction of the sun), most come from our own Sun. They are a by-product of the fusion process that also gives us heat and light (see the chart below). [Above:] The interior of the Sun is hot enough to strip the single electron from an atom of Hydrogen, which is the simplest and most numerous atom in the universe. It consists of one central proton and one orbiting electron. In Step 1, two protons (i.e. two hydrogen atoms without their electrons) join together releasing their excess energy as an electron (-) and a positron (+) and (0.42 MeV) excess energy. Aneutrino is also released in this reaction -- the same solar neutrinos that are the subject of interest in our story. The electron and positron particles immediately annihilate each other because of their opposite charges, releasing more (1.03 MeV) energy, and two gamma ray photons. Very quickly, one of the two newly joined protons changes to become a neutron, causing it to become Deuterium -- a form of hydrogen with one proton and one neutron. In Step 2, the Deuterium nucleus joins with another free proton and becomes Helium-3. Helium is the next larger atom after hydrogen. It usually has only two electrons and two protons but, in this form, it has two protons plus a neutron in its nucleus. This process releases excess energy (5.49 MeV) and a gamma ray photon. In Step 3 the two atoms of Helium-3 join together to become Helium-4. This form of Helium has 2 protons and two neutrons in its core. Obviously, the recipe calls for less protons than is required, so two protons are released to begin their subsequent lives in more similar reactions inside the Sun. This is the most common reaction in the Sun (86%). From the creation of Helium-4, there are two other possible ways that these atoms can react. One [Figure 2, top] involves the joining of Helium-4 with Helium-3, producing Beryllium-7 (4 protons and 3 neutrons), where one of the protons changes to a neutron (creating Lithium-7), releasing a neutrino before splitting again to form two atoms of Helium-4 and a proton. This reaction releases 12.86 MeV of energy and is the second most common fusion reaction in the Sun (14%). The other reaction [Figure 2, bottom] is like the previously described one, except that the Beryllium-7 captures a proton and becomes Boron-8, which then splits to shed a positron and aneutrino, becoming Beryllium-8 before splitting yet again to become two Helium-4 atoms. This releases 14.06 MeV of energy. This is a very rare reaction, happening only 0.11% of the time. Confused? This is the kind of stuff that gives headaches to ordinary people, like me. But it is good to know that the production of neutrinos is a part of the Sun's energy cycle and that these particles bathe us, inside and out, and perhaps are the most numerous particles in the whole universe. It's also why we should be very concerned if they are suddenly behaving in some way that is transforming matter, since that is what you and I are made from. As we will see, some scientists balk at the idea that neutrinos can be responsible for changes in the decay rate. But what they propose is something even more radical -- a completely new particle!

More particle weirdness

If we insist on holding on to our current understanding about neutrinos, there is a possibility that this unexpected effect is brought about by a previously unknown particle emitted by the sun.

"What we're suggesting is that something that doesn't really interact with anything is changing something that can't be changed... It's an effect that no one yet understands. Theorists are starting to say, 'What's going on?' But that's what the evidence points to. It's a challenge for the physicists and a challenge for the solar people too.[If the mystery particle is not a neutrino], It would have to be something we don't know about, an unknown particle that is also emitted by the sun and has this effect, and that would be even more remarkable." -- Peter Sturrock

Resources:


The Mystery of 2012: Predictions, Prophecies, and Possibilities


Now That's Weird - 2012 Apocalypse


2012 Survival Guide


The Complete Idiot's Guide to 2012


How to Survive the End of the World as We Know It: Tactics, Techniques, and Technologies for Uncertain Times


Emergency Food Storage & Survival Handbook: Everything You Need to Know to Keep Your Family Safe in a Crisis


Patriots: Surviving the Coming Collapse


SAS Survival Handbook, Revised Edition: For Any Climate, in Any Situation


Back to Basics: A Complete Guide to Traditional Skills, Third Edition


When All Hell Breaks Loose


Handbook to Practical Disaster Preparedness for the Family


Bug Out: The Complete Plan for Escaping a Catastrophic Disaster Before It's Too Late


Darkest Before the Dawn: How to Survive the end of the World as we know it.

Contributing sources:

David, LightEye of Norway

http://viewzone.com/expando33.html

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Here comes Sunspot Region 1164

Sunspot Region 1164 Coming Around Earthside by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media  March 22, 2011    Over the next 24 to 48 hours, we will see sunspot region 1164coming around the western limb with guns blazing. This region is already showing signs of M-class activity.   Equation: Sunspots => Solar Flares (charged particles) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros 1998)   Region 1166 is about two days behind 1164, and is also indicating significant velocity. Watch for an increase of extreme weather which includes earthquake and volcanic activity. FULL ARTICLE - http://bit.ly/gua3pW Note:  Due to current hazardous events, ECM has made available a 30% discount on our one-year membership. New discount price is $29.05. We had doubled our scholarships to 60 and we are pleased to have granted all of them.  ***Stay tuned to ECM for the latest breaking news ......... Colon Health: Fibre System   $26.95             ITEM #7180  1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50